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Tuesday, 26 December 2017

(Tradeview 2017) - 3 Year Market View Update Version 2

As most of you know I have written an earlier piece on this topic back in 2016, the link attached here.

Summary of my 2016's 3 year view as below : 

My view is this:

1. If you are looking to contra, my advise please stay sidelines.
2. If you can hold 3-6 months, for now it is still export stocks.
3. If you can hold more than 1 year, you can consider O+G, logistics 
4. If you can hold more than 2 years, you can consider textile and apparels,  manufacturing.
5. If you can hold more than 3 years, you should buy property stocks, commodities  

Looking at the time stamp, it is very obvious as one of the earliest writers in 2016 to call a recovery of export stocks and O&G. We called it when it was only March 2016, when these few sectors were at its worst.

1. Most export counters plunge like Liihen plunge to RM1.65 and Pohuat plunge to around RM1.35,

2. Oil Price was at USD 36.79 per barrel for crude oil,

Fast forward to last week of 2017 : 

1. Liihen rebounded from RM1.65 to now RM3.63 (Year high RM4.30) and Pohuat  rebounded from RM1.35 to now RM1.80 (Year high of RM2.06)  

2. Oil Price is at USD 65 per barrel for crude oil (Petronm, Serba Dinamik, Hengyuan among those that rebounded fiercely)

Our stance is to advise all against looking short term. Focus on the long term view and ignore short term volatility and noises. Similarly, 2017 was a tough year. We believe that 2018 will be slightly better. The optimistic side of us would like to think so at least. For those who like to cherry pick at the bottom, there are certain sectors to consider as well at current climate. 

We will follow up with another article soon to review our Top 5 Investment Sector Calls for 2017 to reflect how our view has materialised over the course of the year. This way we can look forward to 2018 with more clarity. 


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Food for thought: 

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Saturday, 9 December 2017

(Tradeview 2017) - Last Monthly Report Card of 2017 (As at 9th December)

Dear fellow traders / investors,

This is the last monthly report card of Tradeview 2017 Public Portfolio. 
We would like to thank 
all readers for the support shown through out the whole year. It has been a very strange year 
but a good one nonetheless. We are thankful for many things, amongst which the steady 
growth in readership and support by your good selves. We will write a few concluding articles 
for 2017. Do keep a look out for our post.

Moving into 2018, we will be continuing the practice of recording my calls for the public. 
The purpose is for transparency and accountability. This is the updated results as of 
early December. 

This is just a simple periodical report to keep track of the progress of my picks for readers. 
Feel free to cross check my public comments / article posting date as reference for the calls. 
Some are calls, some are articles on value picks but all are documented.

*The stocks from when it was highlighted until 9th December 2017 : (Gains exclude div) 

1. Poh Huat - Called on 23 December @ RM 1.73 vs Present RM 1.76 (1.7% Gain) 

2. Allianz - Called on 7th Jan @ RM 10.18 vs Present RM 12.56 (23.3% Gain) 

3. EG Industries - Called on @ 9th Jan RM 0.865 (adjusted would be 0.73) vs 
Present RM 0.665 (-9% Loss) 

4. CCK Consolidated - Called on @ 23rd January RM 0.645 vs Present RM 1.18 (83% Gain) 

5. Magnum - Called on @ 23rd January RM 2.10 vs Present RM 1.76 (-16% Loss) 

6. Paramount Corporation Bhd - Called on @ 1st March RM 1.65 vs Present RM 1.77 
(9% Gain) 

7. Scope Industries Bhd - Called on @ 3rd March RM 0.155 vs Present RM 0.20 (29% Gain) 

8. Kronologi Asia Bhd - Called on @ 15th April RM 0.35 vs Present RM 1.00 (285% Gain) 

9. Red Sena Bhd - Called on @ 7th May RM 0.45 vs Present RM 0.465 (3.3% Gain) 

10. Peterlabs Holding Bhd - Called on @ 20th May RM 0.285 vs Present RM 0.275 
(-3.5% Loss) 

11. KSSC Corporation Bhd - Called on @ 19th August RM 0.52 vs Present RM 0.41 
(-22% Loss) 

Our Average Portfolio Gain Year-To-Date (Based on equal shareholding & 
excluding dividend gain) : 34.9% Gain beating the KLCI Index Return of 4.84%  

*** In fairness, I excluded Magni and Yee Lee as both were 2016 Value Picks & MFCB as called Nov / Dec 2016

As of now, it is 7/11 winners against losers. Should you are keen to follow my writings, there are 4 ways :

1. Private Exclusive Subscribers first
2. Website / Blog / Facebook second
3. Telegram Public Channel third
4. Forum last 

If you are keen with investment education or investing guidance or to be private exclusive subscriber, feel free to contact me at [email protected] to sign up. Thanks. 



**Some counters I may have spotted at lower entry price but I displayed the call price based on 
my first mention in public forums. Also, of all the counters above, some counters I have 
taken profit, some are still holding, some I have cut loss. My private subscribers would know.